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2024-12-13 04:32:59

Seeing the momentum of last Friday, many friends will think that the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad this Monday. However, what everyone didn't expect was that today's market not only didn't continue to be strong, but even a round of rapid diving appeared in the afternoon, which surprised everyone into a cold sweat. The growth enterprise market refers to a worse situation. Last Friday, it finally broke through the pressure level of the 20-day line, and today it fell back. This situation of breaking through the key pressure level and falling back quickly is usually called a false breakthrough, which is a main form of main force attracting more; On the contrary, it is the usual skill of the main force to wash the dishes in a broken position, fall through the key support level and then collect them quickly.Therefore, no matter from the news or funds, the performance of the A-share market will not be too bad in the next period, especially during the two meetings!Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:


During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!It can be seen from the trend of today's market and growth enterprise market that although the two important indexes are not too big in the end, the differentiation is still obvious. The market is still stable in the strong area above 3400 points and the 5-day line, while the GEM index is still in the box structure. Then, will the whole market continue to go up along the pace of the broader market, or will it fall back to the box structure with the GEM?Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.


In your brother's view, these two reassurances have released a very important policy signal!However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.

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